Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 50.03% ( | 23.47% ( | 26.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.08% ( | 42.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.68% ( | 65.32% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( | 17.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.4% ( | 47.6% ( |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( | 29.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( | 65.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 26.5% |