Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 38.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 0-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 38.3% ( | 22.81% ( | 38.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( | 34.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% ( | 56.79% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( | 18.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( | 50.22% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( | 18.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( | 49.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-3 @ 2.16% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 3-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.89% |