Australian A-League
Gameweek
15
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-
Stefan Mauk
31'
-
Roderick Miranda
45'+1'
-
Ben Folami
48'
-
Ethan Alagich
71'
-
Ryan Teague
18'
-
Clarismario Santos Rodrigus
66'
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.48%) and 3-1 (5.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result
Adelaide United
42.42%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
22.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Melbourne Victory
35.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
68.38%
▼
(-0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.22%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
31.78%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 3.5
46.7%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 3.5
53.3%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 4.5
27.77%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
72.23%
▲
(+0.40)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5
84.18%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
15.82%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
55%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
45%
▲
(+0.36)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
81.23%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
18.77%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
49.83%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
50.17%
▲
(+0.27)
Score analysis
Adelaide United
42.42%
Draw
22.15%
Melbourne Victory
35.44%
Adelaide United
2-1
@
8.44%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 42.42%
1-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 42.42%
Draw
1-1
@
9.16%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.15%
2-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.15%
Melbourne Victory
1-2
@
7.66%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 35.44%
0-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 35.44%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
20
-
Nestory Irankunda
51'
-
Nick Ansell
55'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
33'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
57'
-
Roderick Miranda
87'
-
Paul Izzo
90'+7'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
10
-
Bruno Fornaroli
39'
-
Zinedine Machach
73'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
88'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
90'
-
A. Popovic
62'
-
Alexandar Popovic
62'
-
Javi Lopez
68'
-
Isaias Sanchez
71'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
3
-
Bruno Fornaroli
28'
-
Bruno Fornaroli
28'
-
Roderick Miranda
58'
-
Roderick Miranda
63'
-
Rai Marchan
90'+1'
-
Connor Chapman
90'+7'
-
Panashe Madanha
22'
-
Panashe Madanha
22'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
59'
-
Nestory Irankunda
79'
-
Carl Veart
81'
-
Nestory Irankunda
90'+6'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
18
-
Bruno Fornaroli
81'
-
Nestory Irankunda
87'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
-
Craig Goodwin
7'
-
Nicholas D'Agostino
49'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
6
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
37'
-
Craig Goodwin
86'
-
Benjamin Warland
90'+1'