Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 6, 2025 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Adelaide United

Macarthur
1 - 2
Adelaide United

Germain (80')
Randazzo (82'), Arslanagic (90+5'), Randazzo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clough (85' pen.), Jovanovic (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Macarthur
Wednesday, January 1 at 7am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-3 Western Sydney
Friday, December 27 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.14%) and 2-3 (4.71%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawAdelaide United
37.15% (0.415 0.41)21.33% (0.197 0.2)41.51% (-0.61 -0.61)
Both teams to score 71.98% (-0.714 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.73% (-0.93900000000001 -0.94)27.27% (0.94 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.18% (-1.189 -1.19)47.83% (1.191 1.19)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.247 -0.25)15.99% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.7% (-0.458 -0.46)45.3% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (-0.596 -0.6)14.32% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.85% (-1.172 -1.17)42.15% (1.173 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 37.15%
    Adelaide United 41.51%
    Draw 21.33%
MacarthurDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.2% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 37.15%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.226 0.23)
2-2 @ 7.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.88% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.29% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.14% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.71% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 2.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-4 @ 1.4% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 41.51%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Adelaide United

Macarthur
12.5%
Draw
37.5%
Adelaide United
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Adelaide United
1-2
Macarthur
Irankunda (20')
Veart (28')
Piol (84'), Smith (88')
Sterjovski (0'), Drew (27'), M'Mombwa (90+1')
Nicolaou (73')
Jan 8, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 12
Adelaide United
1-1
Macarthur
Halloran (16')
Sanchez (63')
Germain (32')
Baccus (14'), Vujica (24'), Sterjovski (45+2'), Jurman (63')
Dec 4, 2023 8am
Gameweek 6
Macarthur
4-3
Adelaide United
Germain (8'), Millar (24'), Hollman (82'), Davila (84')
Germain (41')
Clough (17', 53'), Bovalina (45+2')
Jan 20, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Adelaide United
1-0
Macarthur
Clough (6')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 5am
Gameweek 2
Macarthur
2-0
Adelaide United
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!