Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 42.77% ( | 22.81% ( | 34.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.59% ( | 35.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.55% ( | 57.45% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( | 17.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( | 47.4% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( | 20.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( | 53.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-3 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.83% Total : 34.42% |