Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 22, 2024 at 6am UK
Marconi Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Western Sydney
4 - 1
Wellington

Sapsford (1', 1'), Kraev (9', 9'), Antonsson (66', 66'), Scicluna (90+4', 90+4')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Ishige (59', 59')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, December 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 14 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawWellington Phoenix
48.56% (0.96 0.96)22.95% (-0.012 -0.01)28.49% (-0.947 -0.95)
Both teams to score 61.78% (-0.647 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02% (-0.559 -0.56)38.98% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7% (-0.589 -0.59)61.3% (0.592 0.59)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.143 0.14)16.34% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07% (0.258 0.26)45.93% (-0.256 -0.26)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)26.15% (0.904 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77% (-1.225 -1.23)61.23% (1.228 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 48.56%
    Wellington Phoenix 28.49%
    Draw 22.95%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.239 0.24)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.27% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.49%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 4.30am
Gameweek 9
Wellington
2-0
Western Sydney
Barbarouses (90+1'), Old (90+4')
Rufer (31')

Milanovic (75')
Oct 22, 2023 5am
Gameweek 1
Western Sydney
0-0
Wellington
Brillante (70'), Milanovic (83')
Barbarouses (90+4')
Apr 21, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Western Sydney
4-0
Wellington
Borrello (9'), Nieuwenhof (31'), Simmons (65'), Yengi (87')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2022 6am
Gameweek 7
Wellington
1-1
Western Sydney
Kraev (61')
Ngbakoto (79')
> Preview
May 5, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 16
Western Sydney
1-2
Wellington
Hemed (29')
Baccus (24'), Troisi (42')
Sutton (3'), Piscopo (65')
Pennington (11'), Sail (89')
rhs 2.0


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