Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 4, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Miranda (29'), Teague (87' pen.)
Valadon (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hammond (45'), Milanovic (76')
Clisby (33'), Priestman (41'), Badolato (76'), Cameron (90+2'), Milanovic (90')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Auckland FC 0-0 Victory
Wednesday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Macarthur
Wednesday, January 1 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
55.28% ( 0.07)	21.19% ( 0)	23.53% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 63.13% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.97% (

-0.1)

35.03% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.97% (

-0.12)

57.02% (

0.11)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

-0.02)

12.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61% (

-0.03)

38.99% (

0.03)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.11)

27.65% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.15)

63.19% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 55.28%

Western Sydney Wanderers 23.53%

Draw 21.19%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.28%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.19%	1-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 23.53%