Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 10, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
3 - 4
Western Utd

Hamill (9'), Fornaroli (39'), Santos Rodrigus (79')
Traore (56'), Arzani (56'), Bos (56'), Bos (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ibusuki (17', 90+5'), Walatee (69'), Botic (90+1')
Thurgate (24'), Garuccio (57'), Grimaldi (90+2'), Botic (90+3')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 4 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Western Utd
Tuesday, January 7 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
51.37% ( 0.09)	22.49% ( -0.02)	26.14% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.34% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.33% (

0.02)

38.67% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.03% (

0.02)

60.97% (

-0.02)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77% (

0.04)

15.23% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.1% (

0.08)

43.89% (

-0.07)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-0.04)

27.63% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-0.05)

63.18% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 51.37%

Western United 26.14%

Draw 22.49%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.37%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.14%