Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Jan 7, 2025 at 7am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Western Utd

Politidis (32'), Mazzeo (59')
Schreiber (-5'), Ugarkovic (41'), Schreiber (63'), Souprayen (84'), Dunbar (90'), Dunbar (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thurgate (41'), Bozinovski (90')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington
Friday, January 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-3 Western Utd
Friday, January 3 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 59.5%. A win for Western United had a probability of 20.58% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
59.5% ( -0.04)	19.91% ( 0.02)	20.58% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 63.52% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.33% (

-0.05)

32.66% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.66% (

-0.06)

54.33% (

0.06)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.17% (

-0.03)

10.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.1% (

-0.06)

34.9% (

0.05)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

-0.01)

28.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.01)

64.61% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 59.5%

Western United 20.58%

Draw 19.91%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 59.5%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.91%	1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 20.58%