Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fmellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fwellog.png)
-
Harry Politidis
7'
-
Harry Politidis
7'
-
Kai Trewin
61'
-
Kai Trewin
61'
-
Nathaniel Atkinson
83'
-
Nathaniel Atkinson
83'
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result
Melbourne City
58.2%
▲
(+0.61)
Draw
20.94%
▲
(+0.03)
Wellington Phoenix
20.86%
▼
(-0.63)
Both Teams to Score:
60.1%
▼
(-1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.7%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 2.5
37.3%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 3.5
40.49%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 3.5
59.51%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 4.5
22.54%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 4.5
77.46%
▲
(+0.87)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5
87.37%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
12.63%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
61.24%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
38.76%
▲
(+0.30)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5
68.79%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 0.5
31.22%
▲
(+1.13)
Over 1.5
32.44%
▼
(-1.34)
Under 1.5
67.56%
▲
(+1.34)
Score analysis
Melbourne City
58.2%
Draw
20.94%
Wellington Phoenix
20.86%
Melbourne City
2-1
@
9.83%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.31)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.35)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 58.2%
2-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.31)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.35)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 58.2%
Draw
1-1
@
9.5%
▲
(+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.94%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.94%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
@
5.53%
▼
(-0.11)
0-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 20.86%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
20
-
James Jeggo
15'
-
James Jeggo
15'
-
Samuel Souprayen
58'
-
Samuel Souprayen
58'
-
Samuel Souprayen
72'
-
Samuel Souprayen
72'
-
Andrew Nabbout
79'
-
Marin Jakolis
84'
-
Youstin Salas
34'
-
Youstin Salas
34'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
70'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
70'
-
Alex Rufer
82'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
5
-
Bozhidar Kraev
48'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
48'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
72'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
72'
-
Curtis Good
68'
-
Curtis Good
68'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
23
-
Jamie MacLaren
34'
-
Jamie MacLaren
52'
-
Marco Tilio
57'
-
Marco Tilio
83'
-
Steven Ugarkovic
49'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
10
-
David Ball
16'
-
Mathew Leckie
18'
-
Jamie MacLaren
51'
-
Jamie MacLaren
90'+6'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
4
-
Jamie MacLaren
16'
-
Marco Tilio
34'
-
Sam Sutton
79'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
90'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
21
-
Sam Sutton
3'
-
Jamie MacLaren
10'
-
Andrew Nabbout
30'
-
Marco Tilio
54'
-
Jamie MacLaren
56'
-
Carl Jenkinson
83'
-
Ben Waine
54'
-
Reno Piscopo
81'
-
Ben Waine
90'+2'