Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 3, 2025 at 6am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Wellington

Politidis (7', 7'), Atkinson (83', 83')
Trewin (61'), Trewin (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Melbourne City
Tuesday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 28 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
58.2% ( 0.61)	20.94% ( 0.03)	20.86% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 60.1% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.7% (

-0.98)

37.3% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.49% (

-1.06)

59.51% (

1.07)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37% (

-0.14)

12.63% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24% (

-0.29)

38.76% (

0.29)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

-1.13)

31.22% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44% (

-1.33)

67.56% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 58.2%

Wellington Phoenix 20.86%

Draw 20.94%

Melbourne City	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.98% Total : 58.2%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.94%	1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 20.86%