Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 28, 2024 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Wellington
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Barbarouses (3', 3'), Retre (59', 59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gibson (73', 73')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-1 Wellington
Sunday, December 22 at 6am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-4 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
46.07% (-0.133 -0.13)23.85% (0.129 0.13)30.08% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.67% (-0.445 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (-0.589 -0.59)42.24% (0.591 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.35% (-0.593 -0.59)64.64% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.286 -0.29)18.55% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (-0.486 -0.49)49.8% (0.488 0.49)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)26.74% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.384 -0.38)62.01% (0.386 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 46.07%
    Newcastle Jets 30.08%
    Draw 23.85%
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.08%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2024 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Wellington
Paulsen (15' og.)
Timmins (17'), Cancar (65'), Jenkinson (66'), Ingham (90+6')
Barbarouses (71')
Wootton (68')
Jan 27, 2024 7am
Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Wellington
Buhagiar (80')
Stamatelopoulos (23'), Natta (77')
Rufer (5' pen.), Zawada (87')
Al-Taay (43'), Pennington (45+3'), Rufer (85')
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 7
Wellington
0-3
Newcastle Jets

Rufer (45+1'), Barbarouses (90+1')
Stamatelopoulos (4', 47'), Taylor (43')
Cancar (29')
Mar 4, 2023 2am
Gameweek 19
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Elliot (40'), Zawada (45+6' pen.)
Saito (51')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 7am
Gameweek 3
Newcastle Jets
3-1
Wellington
McGarry (4'), Dartsmelia (16'), Buhagiar (44')
Kraev (39')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!