Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 38.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 38.68% ( | 22.9% ( | 38.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.68% ( | 35.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.66% ( | 57.34% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( | 18.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% ( | 50.3% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( | 18.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( | 50.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1-0 @ 5.96% ( 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-3 @ 2.12% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 38.42% |