Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Dec 31, 2024 at 8am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Paull (68')
Sainsbury (32'), Theoharous (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Souprayen (33')
Trewin (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-4 Auckland FC
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
27.02% ( -0.37)	21.67% ( -0.1)	51.31% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 65.25% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.1% (

0.17)

33.89% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.25% (

0.2)

55.74% (

-0.2)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

-0.15)

24.51% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.02% (

-0.21)

58.98% (

0.21)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

0.21)

13.56% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.35% (

0.42)

40.65% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 27.02%

Melbourne City 51.31%

Draw 21.67%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.02%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.31%