Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 3, 2025 at 10.45am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
2 - 3
Western Utd

Taggart (29'), Carluccio (66')
Lebib (9'), Zdrilic (80'), Risdon (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grimaldi (33'), Russell (90+2'), Lauton (90+5')
Lauton (86')
Lauton (90+6')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 0-3 Macarthur
Friday, December 27 at 11.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, December 29 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Western United
27.29% ( 0.41)	20.83% ( 0.09)	51.88% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 68.74% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.53% (

-0.11)

29.47% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.45% (

-0.13)

50.55% (

0.14)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

0.19)

22.01% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67% (

0.29)

55.33% (

-0.29)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.14% (

-0.18)

11.86% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.86% (

-0.38)

37.14% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 27.29%

Western United 51.88%

Draw 20.83%

Perth Glory	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.29%	1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.83%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.88%