Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.32%) and 1-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 50.92% ( | 21.47% ( | 27.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% ( | 32.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( | 54.06% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( | 13.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.14% ( | 39.86% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( | 23.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( | 57.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 3-2 @ 4.52% ( 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 5-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-3 @ 2.19% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.6% |