Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 3, 2026 at 6am UK

Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
vs.
Wellington Wellington Phoenix

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 19 at 7am in Australian A-League

Next Game: Central Coast vs. Brisbane Roar
Wednesday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 5-1 Wellington
Monday, December 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw has a probability of 22.41% and a win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Wellington Phoenix win it is 1-2 (5.77%).

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
55.66% ( 2.49)	22.41% ( -0.32)	21.92% ( -2.18)

Both teams to score 56.53% (

-1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27% (

-0.99)

42.73% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87% (

-0.99)

65.13% (

0.99)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

0.49)

15.22% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12% (

0.92)

43.87% (

-0.92)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68% (

-2.45)

33.31% (

2.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06% (

-2.78)

69.93% (

2.78)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 55.66%

Wellington Phoenix 21.92%

Draw 22.41%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.74% Total : 55.66%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.92%