Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 39.7% ( | 23.7% ( | 36.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.57% ( | 39.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% ( | 61.76% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( | 20.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% ( | 52.42% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( | 54.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.6% |