Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Australian A-League
Dec 23, 2025 at 8.15am UK
 
Macarthur

1-1

Behich (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duran (36')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Macarthur
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Melbourne City vs. Perth Glory
Sunday, December 28 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Macarthur
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Newcastle Jets vs. Macarthur
Friday, December 26 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 0-1 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
48.29% (-1.71 -1.71)24.34% (0.223 0.22)27.36% (1.492 1.49)
Both teams to score 56.04% (0.581 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.16 0.16)46.15% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.55% (0.15 0.15)68.45% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.62 -0.62)19.19% (0.626 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (-1.036 -1.04)50.87% (1.043 1.04)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (1.246 1.25)30.64% (-1.24 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (1.447 1.45)66.89% (-1.441 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 48.29%
    Macarthur 27.36%
    Draw 24.34%
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.379 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.41% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.278 0.28)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.246 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.196 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 27.36%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2025 8.35am
gameweek 22
Melbourne City
2-0
Macarthur
Caputo (33', 74' pen.)
Caputo (11'), Cohen (86'), Cohen (86')

Hollman (57'), Makrillos (88')
Jan 25, 2025 8.35am
gameweek 16
Macarthur
1-0
Melbourne City
Germain (62')
Hollman (46'), Deli (58'), Scott (70')
Mar 1, 2024 9.28am
gameweek 19
Macarthur
2-0
Melbourne City
Oliveira (47', 57')

Nabbout (89')
Nov 12, 2023 4am
gameweek 4
Melbourne City
3-3
Macarthur
MacLaren (58', 90', 58', 90'), Antonis (90+3' pen., 90+3' pen.)
Natel (15'), Natel (15'), Sakhi (71'), Sakhi (71')
Davila (61', 61'), Hollman (83', 83'), Millar (88', 88')
Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64'), Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64')
Mar 19, 2023 8am
rhs 2.0


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