Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 27.78% and a draw has a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.86%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 48.74% | 23.49% | 27.78% |
| Both teams to score 59.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% | 64.4% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.59% | 17.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.16% | 47.85% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% | 28.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% | 63.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.78% |