Australian A-League
Dec 20, 2025 8.35am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • German Ferreyra 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Davidson 17'
  • yellowcard Louis D'Arrigo 50'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 72'
  • goal Matthew Grimaldi 90'+1'

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 6.00am
Newcastle Jets 0 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 8.35am
Victory 2 - 1 Adelaide United
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 49.99% (+0.48)
Draw 23.25% (-0.12)
Melbourne Victory 26.77% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.34% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 41.66% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 35.94% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 64.06% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 18.97% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 81.03% (-0.20)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 83.18% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 16.81% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 53.21% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 46.79% (-0.49)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 71.25% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 28.75% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 35.42% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 64.58% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 49.99%
Draw 23.24%
Melbourne Victory 26.77%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.69% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.57% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.54% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.04% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 49.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.24%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.77%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Nov 8, 2025 8.35am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League
May 31, 2025 10.40am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Yonatan Cohen 10' goal
  • Yonatan Cohen 33' yellowcard
  • German Ferreyra 63' yellowcard
  • Mathew Leckie 79' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Rawlins 73'
  • yellowcard Joshua Inserra 78'
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 48' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 45'+7' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 53' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 50'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 56'
  • goal Kai Trewin 70'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 21, 2024 8.35am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
  • Roderick Miranda 65' goal
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Samuel Souprayen 69'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 26, 2024 9.35am
1
3
HT : 0 6
FT AAMI Park
  • Steven Ugarkovic 40' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 40' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 64' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 5'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 5'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 13'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 13'
  • goal Ryan Teague 25'
  • goal Ryan Teague 25'
Australian A-League
May 5, 2024 8.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Marvel Stadium
  • Daniel Arzani 11' yellowcard
  • Zinedine Machach 37' redcard
  • Bruno Fornaroli 50' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 88' goal
  • Damien Da Silva 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Souprayen 5'
  • goal Samuel Souprayen 29'
  • yellowcard James Jeggo 38'
  • yellowcard Jamie MacLaren 41'
  • yellowcard Terry Antonis 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 102'
  • redcard Curtis Good 118'