Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.