Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
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Sydney FC
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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 4, 2025 at 9.35am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Macarthur

Brisbane Roar
1 - 5
Macarthur

Abubakar (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jakolis (44', 55', 73'), Hollman (68'), Sawyer (90+7')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, March 30 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Friday, March 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMacarthur
35.95% (-0.513 -0.51)22.74% (-0.433 -0.43)41.31% (0.95200000000001 0.95)
Both teams to score 66.14% (1.592 1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27% (2.104 2.1)34.74% (-2.098 -2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31% (2.319 2.32)56.69% (-2.313 -2.31)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.697 0.7)19.86% (-0.691 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (1.111 1.11)51.97% (-1.106 -1.11)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (1.283 1.28)17.47% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (2.19 2.19)47.95% (-2.183 -2.18)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 35.95%
    Macarthur 41.31%
    Draw 22.74%
Brisbane RoarDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.61% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.414 -0.41)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 4.01% (0.241 0.24)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.17 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.172 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.079 0.08)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 41.31%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur

Brisbane Roar
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Macarthur
100%
5
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 6
Macarthur
4-4
Brisbane Roar
Adamson (44'), Uskok (51'), De Silva (79'), Germain (83')
Sterjovski (21'), Germain (26'), Uskok (90+1'), Drew (90+6')
Waddingham (5', 29'), Arslanagic (67' og.), Uskok (90+3' og.)
Zabala (45+1'), Warland (65'), Bility (87'), Hingert (90+2')
Mar 16, 2024 5am
Gameweek 21
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Macarthur
Berenguer (14')
Hingert (37')
Uskok (26'), Borges Rodrigues (42')
Hollman (80'), Auglah (90+3')
Jan 18, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Macarthur
Markovski (62')
Caletti (36'), Parsons (66'), Hingert (67'), Majok (72')
Jelacic (88')
Davila (16'), Borges Rodrigues (53'), Drew (59')
Davila (36'), Adamson (47'), Uskok (88'), Oliveira (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 5.30am
Mar 5, 2023 4am
Gameweek 19
Macarthur
3-2
Brisbane Roar
Arabuli (14'), Millar (67'), McGing (90+5')
O'Shea (78'), Lofthouse (80')