Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Brisbane Roar
Apr 4, 2025 9.35am
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT Suncorp Stadium
Macarthur
  • Asumah Abubakar 28' goal
  • goal Marin Jakolis 44'
  • goal Marin Jakolis 55'
  • goal Jake Hollman 68'
  • goal Marin Jakolis 73'
  • goal Harry Sawyer 90'+7'

Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 7.00am
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Thomas Waddingham

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 28, 2025 8.35am
Macarthur 3 - 3 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Marin Jakolis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result

Brisbane Roar 35.95% ▼ (-0.52)
Draw 22.74% ▼ (-0.44)
Macarthur 41.31% ▲ (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.14% ▲ (+1.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.27% ▲ (+2.11)
Under 2.5 34.74% ▼ (-2.10)
Over 3.5 43.31% ▲ (+2.32)
Under 3.5 56.69% ▼ (-2.32)
Over 4.5 24.86% ▲ (+1.92)
Under 4.5 75.14% ▼ (-1.92)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 80.14% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 0.5 19.86% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 1.5 48.03% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 1.5 51.97% ▼ (-1.11)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 82.53% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 0.5 17.47% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 1.5 52.05% ▲ (+2.19)
Under 1.5 47.95% ▼ (-2.19)

Score analysis

Brisbane Roar 35.95%
Draw 22.74%
Macarthur 41.31%
Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.49)
2-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 35.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.39)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.74%
Macarthur
1-2 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.40)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.17)
2-4 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.18)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 41.31%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Macarthur
Nov 30, 2024 8.35am
4
4
HT : 2 4
FT Campbelltown Stadium
Brisbane Roar
  • Mile Sterjovski 21' yellowcard
  • Mile Sterjovski 21' yellowcard
  • Valere Germain 26' yellowcard
  • Valere Germain 26' yellowcard
  • Kealey Adamson 44' goal
  • Kealey Adamson 44' goal
  • Tomislav Uskok 51' goal
  • Daniel De Silva 79' goal
  • Valere Germain 83' goal
  • Tomislav Uskok 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jed Drew 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Waddingham 5'
  • goal Thomas Waddingham 5'
  • goal Thomas Waddingham 29'
  • goal Thomas Waddingham 29'
  • yellowcard Louis Zabala 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Louis Zabala 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Warland 65'
  • goal Dino Arslanagic 67' (OG)
  • yellowcard Hosine Bility 87'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 90'+2'
  • goal Tomislav Uskok 90'+3' (OG)
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Brisbane Roar
Mar 16, 2024 5.00am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Suncorp Stadium
Macarthur
  • Florin Berenguer 14' goal
  • Florin Berenguer 14' goal
  • Jack Hingert 37' yellowcard
  • Jack Hingert 37' yellowcard
  • goal Tomislav Uskok 26'
  • goal Tomislav Uskok 26'
  • goal Raphael Borges Rodrigues 42'
  • goal Raphael Borges Rodrigues 42'
  • yellowcard Jake Hollman 80'
  • yellowcard Jake Hollman 80'
  • yellowcard Ali Auglah 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ali Auglah 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Brisbane Roar
Jan 18, 2024 8.45am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Suncorp Stadium
Macarthur
  • Joe Caletti 36' yellowcard
  • Jonas Markovski 62' goal
  • Alex Parsons 66' yellowcard
  • Jack Hingert 67' yellowcard
  • Ayom Majok 72' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 88' redcard
  • goal Ulises Davila 16'
  • yellowcard Ulises Davila 36'
  • yellowcard Kealey Adamson 47'
  • goal Raphael Borges Rodrigues 53'
  • goal Jed Drew 59'
  • yellowcard Tomislav Uskok 88'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Oliveira 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Macarthur
Oct 21, 2023 5.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Brisbane Roar
  • Raphael Borges Rodrigues 52' goal
  • Jonathan Aspropotamitis 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jay O'Shea 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Macarthur
Mar 5, 2023 4.00am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Brisbane Roar
  • Bachana Arabuli 14' goal
  • Matthew Millar 67' goal
  • Jake McGing 90'+5' goal
  • goal Jay O'Shea 78'
  • goal Jez Lofthouse 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Brisbane Roar
Oct 8, 2022 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
Macarthur

Form Data

Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Perth Glory 1 - 3 Brisbane Roar
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Victory
Newcastle Jets 3 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Wellington 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Macarthur 3 - 3 Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United 4 - 5 Macarthur
Melbourne City 2 - 0 Macarthur
Macarthur 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Western Sydney 2 - 1 Macarthur
Macarthur 2 - 2 Western Utd