Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
35.95% (![]() | 22.74% (![]() | 41.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.27% (![]() | 34.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.31% (![]() | 56.69% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.14% (![]() | 19.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.03% (![]() | 51.97% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% (![]() | 17.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.05% (![]() | 47.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.91% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 8.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.31% |