Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Apr 4, 2025 at 9.35am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
1 - 5
Macarthur

Abubakar (28')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jakolis (44', 55', 73'), Hollman (68'), Sawyer (90+7')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, March 30 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Friday, March 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Macarthur
35.95% ( -0.51)	22.74% ( -0.43)	41.31% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 66.14% (

1.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.27% (

2.1)

34.74% (

-2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.31% (

2.32)

56.69% (

-2.31)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.14% (

0.7)

19.86% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03% (

1.11)

51.97% (

-1.11)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

1.28)

17.47% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05% (

2.19)

47.95% (

-2.18)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 35.95%

Macarthur 41.31%

Draw 22.74%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.95%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.74%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.31%