Feb 6, 2025 4.00am

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Westpac Stadium

17'
Paulo Retre 51'
Paulo Retre 51'
Isaac Hughes 61'
Isaac Hughes 61'

Hosine Bility 25'
Hosine Bility 25'
Jay O'Shea 39'
Jay O'Shea 39'
Henry Hore 71'
Henry Hore 71'
Adam Zimarino 90'+5'
Adam Zimarino 90'+5'

Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

D
W
D
L
L
W

Australian A-League

D
W
D
L
L
W

Last game

Jan 25, 2025 4.00am

Wellington 0 - 0 Central Coast

Goals scored

27

Top scorer

Kosta Barbarouses

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

L
W
L
L
L
L

Australian A-League

L
W
L
L
L
L

Last game

Jan 31, 2025 8.35am

Brisbane Roar 0 - 1 Western Sydney

Goals scored

32

Top scorer

Thomas Waddingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 38.34% ▲ (+0.86)

Draw 25.33% ▲ (+0.14)

Brisbane Roar 36.33% ▼ (-0.99)

Both Teams to Score:

56.56% ▼ (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.82% ▼ (-0.64)

Under 2.5 47.18% ▲ (+0.64)

Over 3.5 30.59% ▼ (-0.60)

Under 3.5 69.41% ▲ (+0.60)

Over 4.5 15.08% ▼ (-0.42)

Under 4.5 84.92% ▲ (+0.42)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 75.76% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 0.5 24.24% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 1.5 41.41% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 1.5 58.59% ▼ (-0.24)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 74.66% ▼ (-0.84)

Under 0.5 25.33% ▲ (+0.84)

Over 1.5 39.88% ▼ (-1.16)

Under 1.5 60.12% ▲ (+1.16)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 38.34%

Draw 25.32%

Brisbane Roar 36.33%

Wellington Phoenix

1-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.27)

2-1 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.11)

2-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.22)

3-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.07)

3-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.12)

3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.02)

4-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)

4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-97.57)

Other @ 2.89%

Total : 38.34%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.94% ▲ (+0.09)

0-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.17)

2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.07)

3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 25.32%

Brisbane Roar

0-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.03)

1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.14)

0-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.13)

1-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.16)

2-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.10)

0-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.13)

1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 3.56%

Total : 36.33%

Head to Head

Mar 31, 2024 12.00am

1

0

HT : 2 0

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Bozhidar Kraev 2'
Bozhidar Kraev 2'
David Ball 43'
David Ball 43'
Alex Rufer 81'
Alex Rufer 81'

Henry Hore 73'
Henry Hore 73'
Tom Aldred 90'+5'
Tom Aldred 90'+6'

Feb 2, 2024 8.45am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Suncorp Stadium

James Nikolovski 59'
Louis Zabala 90'+1'
Corey Brown 90'+4'

Bozhidar Kraev 51'
Nicholas Pennington 64'
Bozhidar Kraev 89'

Nov 4, 2023 4.30am

5

2

HT : 4 2

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Tim Payne 24'
Tim Payne 24'
Oskar Zawada 32'
Oskar Zawada 32'
Bozhidar Kraev 33'
Bozhidar Kraev 33'
Bozhidar Kraev 58'
Bozhidar Kraev 58'
Oskar Zawada 63'
Oskar Zawada 63'
Oskar Zawada 80'
Oskar Zawada 80'
Oskar Zawada 90'+2'
Oskar Zawada 90'+2'

Florin Berenguer 1'
Florin Berenguer 1'
Nikola Mileusnic 53'
Nikola Mileusnic 53'

Apr 16, 2023 4.00am

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Westpac Stadium

Oskar Zawada 35'
Yan Sasse 56'

Jay O'Shea 8'
Scott Neville 82'

Jan 14, 2023 6.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Suncorp Stadium

Oskar Zawada 65'

Mar 30, 2022 9.05am

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT

Luke Ivanovic 17'
Anton Mlinaric 45'+1'
Jay O'Shea 72'

Scott Neville 28' (OG)
Ben Waine 48'
Ben Old 57'

Form Data

Wellington 0 - 0 Central Coast

Macarthur 1 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 0 - 0 Sydney FC

Wellington 1 - 2 Adelaide United

Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Brisbane Roar 0 - 1 Western Sydney

Sydney FC 3 - 4 Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Brisbane Roar 1 - 3 Central Coast

Western Utd 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar