Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 6, 2025 at 4am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Hughes (61', 61')
Retre (51'), Retre (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hore (71', 71')
Bility (25'), Bility (25'), O'Shea (39'), O'Shea (39'), Zimarino (90+5'), Zimarino (90+5')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Saturday, January 25 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Western Sydney
Friday, January 31 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
38.34% ( 0.85)	25.33% ( 0.13)	36.33% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 56.56% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.82% (

-0.63)

47.18% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.59% (

-0.59)

69.41% (

0.59)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

0.17)

24.24% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

0.23)

58.59% (

-0.23)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

-0.83)

25.33% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

-1.16)

60.12% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 38.34%

Brisbane Roar 36.33%

Draw 25.32%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.34%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.33%