Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 11, 2025 at 6am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Mazzeo (65')
Atkinson (61'), Behich (90+2'), Beach (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gianetti (58'), O'Shea (90+3')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Western Utd
Tuesday, January 7 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, January 7 at 9am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
62.13% ( -0)	19.71% ( -0.1)	18.17% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 59.74% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

0.67)

35.59% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.36% (

0.74)

57.64% (

-0.74)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.97% (

0.2)

11.03% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.66% (

0.44)

35.34% (

-0.43)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

0.52)

32.86% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

0.57)

69.43% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 62.13%

Brisbane Roar 18.17%

Draw 19.71%

Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 62.13%	1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.71%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 18.17%