Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 36% ( | 23.25% ( | 40.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( | 37.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( | 59.5% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( | 20.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( | 53.76% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( | 18.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-3 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0-4 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 40.75% |