Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 7, 2025 at 9am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Brown (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rose (74')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-3 Central Coast
Friday, January 3 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Newcastle Jets
44.12% ( -4.81)	22.75% ( 0.65)	33.13% ( 4.15)

Both teams to score 65.27% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.46% (

-1.03)

35.54% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.41% (

-1.15)

57.58% (

1.14)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

-2.13)

16.68% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

-3.94)

46.55% (

3.94)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

1.9)

21.67% (

-1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19% (

2.82)

54.81% (

-2.83)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 44.12%

Newcastle Jets 33.13%

Draw 22.75%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.62) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.63) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.42) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 44.12%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.66) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.55% Total : 33.13%