Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 0-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 24.94% ( | 21.63% ( | 53.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.33% ( | 35.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.27% ( | 57.73% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( | 26.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( | 62.25% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( | 13.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.43% ( | 40.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 3-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 1-4 @ 3.19% ( 0-4 @ 2.43% ( 2-4 @ 2.09% ( 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 3-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.43% |