Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 11, 2025 at 4am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
1 - 2
Adelaide United

Piper (50')
Nagasawa (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sheridan (7' og.), Jovanovic (75')
Vriends (90+6'), Jovanovic (90+7')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington
Friday, January 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Adelaide United
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Adelaide United
28.43% ( -0.21)	22.4% ( 0.16)	49.17% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 63.74% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.62% (

-0.96)

36.38% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.49% (

-1.05)

58.51% (

1.05)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

-0.62)

24.87% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53% (

-0.87)

59.47% (

0.87)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

-0.34)

15.16% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24% (

-0.63)

43.75% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 28.43%

Adelaide United 49.17%

Draw 22.4%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.43%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.11% Total : 49.17%