Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 22.66% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 57.81% ( | 19.53% ( | 22.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.13% ( | 27.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.42% ( | 48.57% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% ( | 9.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.47% ( | 32.53% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-2 @ 4.98% ( 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 4-2 @ 2.9% ( 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 4-3 @ 1.37% ( 5-2 @ 1.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.98% Total : 57.81% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-0 @ 2.37% ( 3-3 @ 2.35% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.53% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-1 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.66% |