Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 1, 2025 6.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Henry Hore 20' goal
  • Henry Hore 20' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 57' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 57' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 64' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 64' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 89' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 57'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 57'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 69'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 69'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 90'+3'
  • goal Kasey Bos 90'+7'
  • goal Kasey Bos 90'+7'

Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 21, 2025 8.35am
Newcastle Jets 3 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Thomas Waddingham

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 8.35am
Victory 2 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 26.14% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.47%).

Result

Brisbane Roar 26.14% (-0.43)
Draw 21.7% (-0.20)
Melbourne Victory 52.16% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.26% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.17% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 34.83% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 43.2% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 56.8% (-0.66)
Over 4.5 24.77% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 75.23% (-0.55)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.61% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.5% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.49% (-0.02)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 86.38% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 13.62% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 59.23% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 40.77% (-0.80)

Score analysis

Brisbane Roar 26.14%
Draw 21.7%
Melbourne Victory 52.16%
Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 4.75% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 3.24% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 26.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.94% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.7%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 9.44% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.28% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 4.61% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 4.27% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 3.13% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 2.3% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 2.13% (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.25% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 52.16%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 9, 2024 6.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Nishan Velupillay 38' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 38' goal
  • Jason Geria 76' goal
  • Jason Geria 76' goal
  • yellowcard Waleed Shour 28'
  • yellowcard Waleed Shour 28'
  • yellowcard Harry Van Der Saag 85'
  • yellowcard Harry Van Der Saag 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2024 8.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Jason Geria 51' redcard
  • Jason Geria 51' redcard
  • Chris Ikonomidis 82' yellowcard
  • Chris Ikonomidis 82' yellowcard
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 6.00am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Marco Rojas 23' goal
  • Marco Rojas 23' goal
  • Henry Hore 39' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 39' yellowcard
  • Marco Rojas 56' goal
  • Marco Rojas 56' goal
  • Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' yellowcard
  • Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' yellowcard
  • Thomas Waddingham 70' goal
  • Thomas Waddingham 70' goal
  • Keegan Jelacic 90' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 15'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 15'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 35'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 35'
  • goal Roly Bonevacia 86'
  • goal Roly Bonevacia 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2023 10.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Jordan Courtney-Perkins 54'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2023 8.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Jay O'Shea 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium