Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 1, 2025 at 6am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Victory

Hore (20', 20')
O'Shea (57'), O'Shea (57'), Jelacic (64'), Jelacic (64'), Hore (89'), Hore (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bos (90+7', 90+7')
Machach (57'), Machach (57'), Valadon (69'), Valadon (69'), Monge (90+3'), Monge (90+3'), Monge (90+3'), Monge (90+3')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, February 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 22 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 26.14% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.47%).

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne Victory
26.14% ( 0.2)	21.7% ( -0.14)	52.16% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 64.26% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.17% (

0.85)

34.83% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.2% (

0.95)

56.8% (

-0.95)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

0.59)

25.61% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.5% (

0.8)

60.49% (

-0.81)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.38% (

0.27)

13.62% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.23% (

0.54)

40.77% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 26.14%

Melbourne Victory 52.16%

Draw 21.7%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.14%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 52.16%