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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2025 at 8.35am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets
3 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Mizunuma (21'), Adams (38'), Taylor (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
O'Shea (43')
Shour (29'), Bility (30'), Abubakar (82')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 15 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, February 6 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
35.84% (-0.285 -0.28)23.33% (-0.107 -0.11)40.84% (0.395 0.4)
Both teams to score 63.86% (0.361 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.31% (0.489 0.49)37.69% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.07% (0.521 0.52)59.93% (-0.517 -0.52)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (0.078999999999994 0.08)21.25% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (0.116 0.12)54.17% (-0.114 -0.11)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (0.38199999999999 0.38)18.9% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61% (0.63 0.63)50.39% (-0.627 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 35.84%
    Brisbane Roar 40.84%
    Draw 23.32%
Newcastle JetsDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.84%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 2% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 40.84%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2025 9am
Gameweek 11
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Newcastle Jets

Brown (86')
Rose (74')
Apr 13, 2024 8.30am
Gameweek 24
Brisbane Roar
0-2
Newcastle Jets

Cahn (0'), Hingert (59'), Aldred (81')
Taylor (53'), Stamatelopoulos (63')
Jan 23, 2024 8am
Gameweek 12
Newcastle Jets
3-1
Brisbane Roar
Stamatelopoulos (29', 54'), Mauragis (57')
Grimaldi (56')
Majok (71')
Markovski (45'), Neville (58'), Zabala (75')
O'Shea (45+4')
Jan 14, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 27
Brisbane Roar
3-2
Newcastle Jets
O'Shea (61', 90' pen.), Markovski (82')
Aldred (13'), Lethlean (77'), Majok (85')
Stamatelopoulos (18'), Cancar (65')
Stynes (49')
Apr 8, 2023 8am
Gameweek 23
Brisbane Roar
3-0
Newcastle Jets
Hore (34'), O'Shea (70' pen.), Scepovic (90+2')
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