Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Jan 12, 2025 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 3
Macarthur

Gibson (18')
Wellissol (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Germain (23'), Drew (59'), Oliveira (90+1')
Germain (19'), Jakolis (20'), Wellissol (20'), Rose (68')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, January 7 at 9am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Adelaide United
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
30.75% ( -0.03)	22.51% ( 0.07)	46.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 64.96% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.55% (

-0.35)

35.45% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.51% (

-0.39)

57.49% (

0.39)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

-0.19)

22.97% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24% (

-0.28)

56.76% (

0.27)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

-0.15)

15.66% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.3% (

-0.28)

44.7% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 30.75%

Macarthur 46.74%

Draw 22.51%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.75%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.74%