Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Feb 15, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Mauk (45+1', 45+1')
Vriends (50')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Rose (37', 37'), Taylor (55')
Bayliss (80')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Melbourne City
Friday, February 7 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-0 Victory
Saturday, February 8 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 3-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
62.49% ( -0.22)	18.84% ( 0.03)	18.66% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 64.13% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.59% (

0.19)

30.41% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.31% (

0.23)

51.68% (

-0.23)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.56% (

9.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.3% (

0.01)

31.7% (

-0.01)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

0.3)

29.19% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

0.37)

65.13% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 62.49%

Newcastle Jets 18.66%

Draw 18.84%

Adelaide United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.02% Total : 62.49%	1-1 @ 8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 18.84%	1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.85% Total : 18.66%