Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 7, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
1 - 0
Melbourne City

Goodwin (52')
Mauk (14')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Talbot (50'), Ferreyra (57'), Tilio (76')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, February 1 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 25 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.12%) and 3-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
40.67% ( -0.31)	22% ( 0.2)	37.32% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 69.3% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.28% (

-1)

30.71% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.95% (

-1.2)

52.05% (

1.21)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

-0.54)

16.06% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

-0.99)

45.43% (

0.99)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

-0.39)

17.44% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

-0.69)

47.9% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 40.67%

Melbourne City 37.32%

Draw 22%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.75% Total : 40.67%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.58% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 37.32%