Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Jan 18, 2025 at 4am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
3 - 0
Melbourne City

May (33', 33', 33'), Pijnaker (40', 40', 40'), Mata (45+3', 45+3', 45+3')
Mata (12'), Mata (12'), Mata (12'), Randall (51'), Randall (51'), Randall (51'), Howieson (78'), Howieson (78'), Howieson (78')

FT(HT: 9-0)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland FC
Saturday, January 11 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Melbourne City
24.5% ( -0.2)	22.26% ( -0.03)	53.23% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 60.39% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.86% (

-0.05)

39.14% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.53% (

-0.05)

61.47% (

0.05)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-0.18)

29.13% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

-0.23)

65.06% (

0.23)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.22% (

0.06)

14.78% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

0.12)

43.03% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 24.5%

Melbourne City 53.23%

Draw 22.26%

Auckland FC	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 24.5%	1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.26%	1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.23%