Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 35.7% ( | 22.63% ( | 41.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.79% ( | 34.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.9% ( | 56.1% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( | 19.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( | 51.78% ( |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( | 17.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.69% ( | 47.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-3 @ 2.21% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 3-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 41.67% |