Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 53.95% ( | 21.5% ( | 24.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( | 35.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( | 57.46% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.72% ( | 13.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.92% ( | 40.07% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( | 27.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( | 62.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 4-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.95% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.84% Total : 24.55% |