Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 8, 2025 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
3 - 0
Victory

Aquilina (33'), Rose (54', 90+20', 90+20'), Grozos (90+9' pen., 90+9' pen.), Taylor (90+14', 90+14')
Natta (21'), Natta (21'), Bayliss (45+1'), Bayliss (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Teague (44'), Teague (44'), Traore (57'), Traore (57'), Langerak (82'), Langerak (82')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 1 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 0-2 Victory
Saturday, February 1 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne Victory
22.79% ( -0.56)	21.23% ( -0.05)	55.99% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 61.97% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.88% (

-0.43)

36.12% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.77% (

-0.48)

58.23% (

0.48)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

-0.7)

28.86% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

-0.88)

64.73% (

0.88)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

0.04)

12.89% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

0.08)

39.3% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 22.79%

Melbourne Victory 55.99%

Draw 21.23%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.28% Total : 22.79%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.23%	1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.04% Total : 55.99%