Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
Feb 8, 2025 6.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Victory
  • Mark Natta 21' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 21' yellowcard
  • Thomas Aquilina 33' goal
  • Lachlan Bayliss 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Bayliss 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Rose 54' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 90'+9' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 90'+9' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 90'+14' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 90'+14' goal
  • Lachlan Rose 90'+20' goal
  • Lachlan Rose 90'+20' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 44'
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 44'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 57'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 57'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Langerak 82'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Langerak 82'

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 8.35am
Central Coast 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 10.45am
Perth Glory 0 - 2 Victory
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.99%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle Jets 22.79% ▼ (-0.57)
Draw 21.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Melbourne Victory 55.99% ▲ (+0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.97% ▼ (-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.88% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 2.5 36.12% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 3.5 41.77% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 3.5 58.23% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 4.5 23.58% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 4.5 76.42% ▲ (+0.40)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 71.14% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 0.5 28.86% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 1.5 35.28% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 1.5 64.73% ▲ (+0.89)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 87.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 12.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 60.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 39.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 22.79%
Draw 21.23%
Melbourne Victory 55.99%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 22.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.23%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.20)
0-1 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.08)
2-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 55.99%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Newcastle Jets
Feb 3, 2024 7.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Victory
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 88' goal
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 88' goal
  • goal Roderick Miranda 20'
  • goal Roderick Miranda 20'
  • yellowcard Damien Da Silva 31'
  • yellowcard Damien Da Silva 31'
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 87'
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 87'
  • yellowcard Connor Chapman 90'
  • yellowcard Connor Chapman 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Victory
Oct 29, 2023 6.00am
5
3
HT : 4 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Newcastle Jets
  • Bruno Fornaroli 8' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 31' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 40' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 45'+3' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 55' goal
  • goal Mark Natta 6'
  • yellowcard Carl Jenkinson 27'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 49'
  • yellowcard Trent Buhagiar 58'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Newcastle Jets
Feb 12, 2023 4.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Victory
  • Beka Mikeltadze 37' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 58' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 51'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Victory
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
Newcastle Jets
  • Jake Brimmer 16' goal
  • Chris Ikonomidis 50' goal
  • Nicholas D'Agostino 54' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 89' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
Apr 16, 2022 10.45am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Victory
  • Jordan Elsey 41' yellowcard
  • Savvas Siatravanis 65' goal
  • goal Nicholas D'Agostino 6'
  • yellowcard Ben Folami 58'
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Victory
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle Jets
  • Joshua Brillante 28' yellowcard
  • Jake Brimmer 45'+2' goal
  • Joshua Brillante 48' redcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Elsey 5'
  • yellowcard Beka Mikeltadze 21'
  • goal Valentino Yuel 57'
  • goal Beka Mikeltadze 70'

Form Data

Central Coast 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Perth Glory
Western Utd 3 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Macarthur
Brisbane Roar 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Sydney FC
Perth Glory 0 - 2 Victory
Victory 2 - 0 Sydney FC
Adelaide United 3 - 2 Victory
Victory 3 - 4 Western Utd
Victory 2 - 2 Western Sydney
Auckland FC 0 - 0 Victory