Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Feb 1, 2025 at 10.45am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
0 - 2
Victory

Freney (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Velupillay (61'), Santos Rodrigus (66')
Teague (45+1')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, January 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, January 24 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne Victory
17.64% ( -0.23)	19.01% ( 0.07)	63.34% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 61.31% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.9% (

-0.76)

33.09% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.17% (

-0.88)

54.83% (

0.87)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0.71)

31.88% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67% (

-0.82)

68.33% (

0.81)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90% (

-0.18)

10% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.98% (

-0.41)

33.02% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 17.65%

Melbourne Victory 63.34%

Draw 19.01%

Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.19% Total : 17.65%	1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.01%	1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.34%