Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2025 10.45am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT nib Stadium
  • William Freney 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 45'+1'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 61'
  • goal Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 66'

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 6.00am
Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Perth Glory
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Adam Taggart

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 24, 2025 8.35am
Victory 2 - 0 Sydney FC
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result

Perth Glory 17.64% (-0.23)
Draw 19.01% (+0.07)
Melbourne Victory 63.34% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.31% (-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.9% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 33.09% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 45.17% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 54.83% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 26.44% (-0.76)
Under 4.5 73.56% (+0.76)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5 68.12% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 31.88% (+0.71)
Over 1.5 31.67% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 68.33% (+0.82)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 90% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 10% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 66.98% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 33.02% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Perth Glory 17.65%
Draw 19.01%
Melbourne Victory 63.34%
Perth Glory
2-1 @ 4.8% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 3.64% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 17.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.39% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.19% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.01%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 9.66% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.45% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 7.42% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.34% (+0.24)
0-3 @ 6.49% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 4.27% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 2.44% (-0.08)
1-5 @ 1.97% (-0.04)
0-5 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 63.34%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 8, 2024 6.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Zinedine Machach 7' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 7' goal
  • Adama Traore 59' goal
  • Adama Traore 59' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 35'
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 35'
  • yellowcard Luis Canga 37'
  • yellowcard Luis Canga 37'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Carluccio 53'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Carluccio 53'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 5.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Bruno Fornaroli 16' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 16' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 53' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 53' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Paul Izzo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Paul Izzo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Bennie 61'
  • goal Daniel Bennie 61'
  • yellowcard Alen Stajcic 76'
  • yellowcard Alen Stajcic 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2024 10.45am
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT nib Stadium
  • Adam Taggart 20' goal
  • Bruce Kamau 34' yellowcard
  • Bruce Kamau 46' redcard
  • Adam Taggart 50' yellowcard
  • Kaelan Majekodunmi 89' goal
  • goal Zinedine Machach 42'
  • goal Eli Adams 82'
  • yellowcard Eli Adams 84'
  • goal Ben Folami 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Apr 9, 2023 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT nib Stadium
  • Ryan Williams 37' goal
  • Adam Taggart 80' goal
  • Adam Taggart 87' goal
  • goal Joshua Brillante 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Apr 6, 2022 12.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Callum Timmins 28' yellowcard
  • Giordano Colli 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Davidson 46'
  • goal Francesco Margiotta 57'
  • yellowcard Rai Marchan 90'