Australian A-League
Gameweek
19
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-
Nikolaos Vergos
57'
-
Nikolaos Vergos
58'
-
Joshua Rawlins
65'
-
Mitchell Langerak
90'+4'
-
Matthew Sheridan
75'
-
Sam Sutton
89'
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result
Melbourne Victory
56.65%
▲
(+0.72)
Draw
22%
▼
(-0.06)
Wellington Phoenix
21.34%
▼
(-0.67)
Both Teams to Score:
57.08%
▼
(-0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.39%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 2.5
41.6%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 3.5
35.99%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 3.5
64%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 4.5
19.01%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 4.5
80.98%
▲
(+0.45)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
85.48%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
14.51%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
57.48%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
42.52%
▼
(-0.07)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5
66.77%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 0.5
33.23%
▲
(+0.94)
Over 1.5
30.16%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
69.83%
▲
(+1.05)
Score analysis
Melbourne Victory
56.65%
Draw
22%
Wellington Phoenix
21.34%
Melbourne Victory
2-1
@
9.9%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 56.65%
1-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 56.65%
Draw
1-1
@
10.25%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22%
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
@
5.65%
▼
(-0.14)
0-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.34%
0-1 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 21.34%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
5
-
Alex Rufer
62'
-
Alex Rufer
62'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
82'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
82'
-
Kasey Bos
30'
-
Kasey Bos
30'
Australian A-League
-
Youstin Salas
90'+1'
-
Youstin Salas
90'+1'
-
Oskar Zawada
90'+9'
-
Oskar Zawada
90'+9'
-
Daniel Arzani
30'
-
Daniel Arzani
30'
-
Adama Traore
81'
-
Adama Traore
82'
-
Connor Chapman
97'
-
Connor Chapman
97'
-
Chris Ikonomidis
102'
-
Chris Ikonomidis
102'
Australian A-League
-
Daniel Arzani
88'
-
Daniel Arzani
88'
-
David Ball
41'
-
David Ball
41'
-
Nicholas Pennington
52'
-
Nicholas Pennington
52'
-
Alex Rufer
90'+5'
-
Alex Rufer
90'+5'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
24
-
Tim Payne
31'
-
David Ball
65'
-
Finn Surman
90'+5'
-
Fabian Monge
34'
-
Damien Da Silva
90'+1'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
13
-
Tim Payne
45'+8'
-
Tim Payne
45'+8'
-
Alex Rufer
90'+5'
-
Alex Rufer
90'+5'
-
Adama Traore
36'
-
Adama Traore
36'
-
Nishan Velupillay
40'
-
Nishan Velupillay
40'
-
Connor Chapman
79'
-
Connor Chapman
79'
-
Connor Chapman
79'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
4
-
Ryan Teague
14'
-
Jason Geria
83'
-
Nicholas Pennington
8'
-
Finn Surman
18'
-
Damien Da Silva
41'
(OG)
-
Lukas Kelly-Heald
45'+4'
-
Tim Payne
89'