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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Feb 23, 2025 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Adelaide United

Western Utd
3 - 0
Adelaide United

Botic (26', 26'), Ibusuki (59' pen., 59' pen.), Danzaki (88', 88')
Bozinovski (30'), Bozinovski (30'), Ruhs (90+1'), Ruhs (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Vriends (32'), Vriends (32'), Mauk (64'), Mauk (64')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, February 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 15 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
30.8% (-0.084 -0.08)22.67% (0.076000000000001 0.08)46.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.41% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.82% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)36.18% (0.422 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.7% (-0.461 -0.46)58.3% (0.462 0.46)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.255 -0.25)23.3% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-0.375 -0.38)57.25% (0.377 0.38)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.157 -0.16)16.02% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.287 -0.29)45.35% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Western United 30.8%
    Adelaide United 46.54%
    Draw 22.67%
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.44% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.8%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 46.54%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Adelaide United

Western United
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Adelaide United
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 4
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Leonard (32' og.), Clough (71')
Vidmar (10')
Apr 16, 2024 10am
Gameweek 13
Western Utd
3-3
Adelaide United
Grimaldi (19'), Donachie (34'), O'Toole (90+4')
Donachie (3'), O'Toole (45+6'), Pasquali (73'), Najdovski (88')
Ibusuki (45+7' pen., 57'), Irankunda (62')
Mauk (72'), Irankunda (84'), Halloran (90+4')
Mar 29, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 22
Adelaide United
4-1
Western Utd
Irankunda (19', 46', 48'), Clough (80' pen.)
Irankunda (58'), Van Der Saag (60'), Lopez (90+1')
Ruhs (50')
Risdon (40'), Ruhs (58'), Thurgate (70'), Danzaki (90+4')
Imai (90+2')
Nov 26, 2023 6am
Gameweek 5
Western Utd
1-3
Adelaide United
Wales (53')
Lustica (49')
Halloran (30'), Popovic (56'), Jovanovic (63')
Duzel (69')
Apr 16, 2023 8am