Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 30.8% ( | 22.67% ( | 46.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% ( | 36.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.7% ( | 58.3% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( | 23.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( | 57.25% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( | 16.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% ( | 45.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 1-0 @ 5.44% ( 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.8% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 1-3 @ 5.57% ( 2-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 1-5 @ 0.93% ( 3-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.54% |