Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 42.58% ( | 24.82% ( | 32.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( | 45.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( | 21.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% ( | 54.48% ( |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( | 26.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( | 62.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.59% |