Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

Feb 1, 2025 at 4am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
2 - 1
Macarthur

Moreno (10', 10'), Verstraete (80', 80')
Verstraete (90+4'), Verstraete (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Hollman (19', 19')
Vujica (32'), Vujica (32'), Brattan (34'), Brattan (34')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 25 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Macarthur
37.74% ( 0.64)	25.33% ( 0.25)	36.93% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.82% (

-1.15)

47.18% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

-1.08)

69.42% (

1.08)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44% (

-0.18)

24.56% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95% (

-0.25)

59.05% (

0.26)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-1)

25% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

-1.41)

59.66% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 37.74%

Macarthur 36.93%

Draw 25.33%

Auckland FC	Draw	Macarthur
1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.74%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.93%