Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 9, 2025 at 6am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
2 - 2
Western Utd

Hollman (32', 32'), Jakolis (79', 79')
Brattan (23'), Brattan (23'), Jakolis (75'), Jakolis (75')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Botic (23', 23'), Walatee (45+4', 45+4')
Walatee (45'), Walatee (45'), Thurgate (61'), Thurgate (61'), Ruhs (84'), Ruhs (84')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 1 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Central Coast
Wednesday, January 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Western United
47.45% ( -0.42)	21.89% ( 0.31)	30.66% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 67.26% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.57% (

-1.51)

32.43% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.93% (

-1.77)

54.07% (

1.77)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.72% (

-0.69)

14.28% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.92% (

-1.37)

42.08% (

1.38)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.46% (

-0.68)

21.54% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.39% (

-1.06)

54.61% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 47.45%

Western United 30.66%

Draw 21.89%

Macarthur	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.45%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.89%	1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.54% Total : 30.66%