Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.