Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 7, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Macarthur

Caputo (33', 74' pen.)
Caputo (11'), Cohen (86'), Cohen (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hollman (57'), Makrillos (88')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 0-1 Melbourne City
Friday, February 28 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, March 1 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Melbourne City in this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
62.72% ( -0.08)	20.24% ( 0.34)	17.04% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 55.41% (

-1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.86% (

-2.06)

40.14% (

2.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.49% (

-2.17)

62.5% (

2.17)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77% (

-0.64)

12.23% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.07% (

-1.37)

37.93% (

1.37)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13% (

-1.55)

36.87% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34% (

-1.58)

73.65% (

1.58)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 62.72%

Macarthur 17.04%

Draw 20.24%

Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.65) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.72%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.24%	1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.04%