Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 41.88% ( | 22.5% ( | 35.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.44% ( | 33.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.63% ( | 55.36% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( | 16.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% ( | 46.69% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( | 19.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( | 51.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 4-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 3-3 @ 2.26% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 3-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.62% |