Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Feb 15, 2025 at 6am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Perth Glory

Wong (37', 37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Melbourne City
Friday, February 7 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast
Friday, February 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
80.48% ( -0.44)	12.42% ( 0.36)	7.1% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.67% (

-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.69% (

-1.76)

29.31% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.64% (

-2.17)

50.35% (

2.17)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.41% (

-0.42)

5.58% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.31% (

-1.22)

21.68% (

1.22)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.66% (

-1.22)

46.33% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.02% (

-0.96)

81.98% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 80.47%

Perth Glory 7.1%

Draw 12.42%

Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.56) 4-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.15) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.13) Other @ 4.57% Total : 80.47%	1-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.91% Total : 12.42%	1-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.9% Total : 7.1%