Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 0-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 20.24% ( | 21.17% ( | 58.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( | 61.6% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( | 32.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% ( | 69.52% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.86% ( | 13.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% ( | 39.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 2-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 20.24% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0-3 @ 6.03% ( 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0-4 @ 3.06% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0-5 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 58.59% |