Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 0-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.