Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 37.94% ( | 23.95% ( | 38.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( | 40.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( | 62.99% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( | 21.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( | 54.56% ( |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( | 21.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.57% ( | 54.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 2-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.11% |