Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Mar 16, 2025 at 4am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
2 - 2
Central Coast

May (10', 10'), Elliot (78', 78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Feijao (71', 71'), Duarte (90', 90')
Kaltack (77'), Kaltack (77')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, March 9 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 3-0 Central Coast
Saturday, March 8 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
49.03% ( 0.08)	22.65% ( -0.03)	28.32% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.35% (

0.1)

37.65% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

0.11)

59.89% (

-0.11)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.33% (

0.07)

15.67% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.28% (

0.12)

44.72% (

-0.12)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

0.02)

25.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

0.03)

60.47% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 49.03%

Central Coast Mariners 28.32%

Draw 22.65%

Auckland FC	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.03%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.32%