Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 8, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
3 - 0
Central Coast

Velupillay (9', 9', 9'), Fornaroli (41', 41', 41'), Machach (90+2', 90+2')
Velupillay (55'), Velupillay (55'), Rawlins (85'), Rawlins (85')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Theoharous (56'), Theoharous (56'), Duarte (58'), Duarte (58')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Victory
Saturday, March 1 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, February 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
49.77% ( 0.05)	22.97% ( -0.01)	27.26% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 60.7% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.02% (

0.01)

39.98% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.66% (

0.01)

62.34% (

-0.01)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

0.02)

16.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

0.04)

45.82% (

-0.04)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49% (

-0.02)

27.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99% (

-0.02)

63.02% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 49.77%

Central Coast Mariners 27.26%

Draw 22.97%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 49.77%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.26%