Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 8, 2025 8.35am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Nishan Velupillay 9' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 9' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 9' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 41' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 41' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 41' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 55' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 55' yellowcard
  • Joshua Rawlins 85' yellowcard
  • Joshua Rawlins 85' yellowcard
  • Zinedine Machach 90'+2' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 56'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 56'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Duarte 58'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Duarte 58'

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 6.00am
Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 8.35am
Central Coast 1 - 3 Western Utd
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alou Kuol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result

Melbourne Victory 49.77% (+0.05)
Draw 22.97% (-0.01)
Central Coast Mariners 27.26% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.7% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.02% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 39.98% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 62.34% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.29% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.71% (-0.02)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 83.73% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 16.27% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 45.82% (-0.04)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 72.49% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.51% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.99% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.02% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 49.77%
Draw 22.97%
Central Coast Mariners 27.26%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.13% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 49.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.97%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 18, 2024 9.35am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Alfie McCalmont 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 4'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 33'
  • redcard Roderick Miranda 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Duncan 90'+6'
Australian A-League
May 25, 2024 10.55am
3
1
HT : 0 0
ET Central Coast Stadium
  • Jacob Farrell 83' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edmondson 90'+1' goal
  • Miguel Di Pizio 97' goal
  • Ryan Edmondson 120'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 21'
  • goal Jason Geria 50'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 70'
  • yellowcard Damien Da Silva 107'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Feb 25, 2024 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Jason Geria 21' yellowcard
  • Jason Geria 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 47' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 47' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 59' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 59' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 80' redcard
  • Roderick Miranda 80' redcard
  • Jordi Valadon 90' redcard
  • Jordi Valadon 90' redcard
  • goal Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
  • goal Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 56'
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 56'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 65'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 65'
  • redcard Ronald Barcellos Arantes 90'+7'
  • redcard Ronald Barcellos 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 90'+10'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 6.15am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Alou Kuol 29' yellowcard
  • Jacob Farrell 75' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 89' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 7'
  • yellowcard Damien Da Silva 25'
  • goal Daniel Arzani 33'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 84'
  • yellowcard Nishan Velupillay 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Dec 3, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Alou Kuol 16' goal
  • Alou Kuol 16' goal
  • Max Balard 49' yellowcard
  • Max Balard 49' yellowcard
  • Brian Kaltack 56' yellowcard
  • Brian Kaltack 56' yellowcard
  • Angel Torres 73' goal
  • Angel Torres 73' goal
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 52'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 52'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 68'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 68'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 19, 2023 6.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Bruno Fornaroli 16' goal
  • Fernando Romero 56' goal