Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Feb 28, 2025 at 8.35am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
1 - 3
Western Utd

Imai (76' og.)
Kuzevski (47'), McCalmont (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Botic (52'), Vickery (81'), Ruhs (90+7')
Lauton (79'), Vickery (90+5')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 0-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, February 22 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 3-0 Adelaide United
Sunday, February 23 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western United
29.81% ( -0.3)	22.08% ( 0.03)	48.11% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 65.99% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.13% (

-0.35)

33.86% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.29% (

-0.4)

55.71% (

0.4)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.35)

22.74% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

-0.52)

56.42% (

0.52)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

-0.04)

14.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.32% (

-0.07)

42.68% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 29.81%

Western United 48.11%

Draw 22.08%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.81%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.11%